Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.942424 4.413683 4.925667 5.524303 6.206427 6.961050 7.861262
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.294748 3.926173 4.662113 5.587415 6.725563 8.087198 9.850656
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.870384 3.581833 4.455542 5.615979 7.129512 9.053986 11.713987
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.502919 3.238472 4.179873 5.486246 7.272830 9.660656 13.144337
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.256724 3.011825 4.013178 5.456644 7.514460 10.388990 14.790828
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.050071 2.810742 3.851246 5.402251 7.696475 11.030616 16.365220
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.961522 2.760223 3.886081 5.620159 8.280081 12.300660 19.023044
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.823244 2.623576 3.781321 5.615878 8.520709 13.066201 20.969727
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.693097 2.486128 3.660645 5.570793 8.685109 13.717584 22.794612
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.514827 2.261444 3.388754 5.261801 8.390534 13.583600 23.243279
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.434073 2.179833 3.329841 5.286087 8.642475 14.381841 25.432448
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.391376 2.153889 3.355169 5.448307 9.139682 15.649234 28.641550
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.324131 2.085589 3.309888 5.492709 9.445437 16.626818 31.472040
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.260399 2.018342 3.261009 5.526177 9.734526 17.605888 34.448634
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.200526 1.952866 3.209445 5.548924 10.003656 18.573259 37.536636
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.120466 1.847343 3.080926 5.419945 9.970043 18.940522 39.386464
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.063707 1.777990 3.010116 5.390563 10.124376 19.697270 42.199344
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.007946 1.706603 2.930376 5.336879 10.223509 20.347770 44.860601
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.995411 1.711183 2.987874 5.551796 10.889630 22.275393 50.847998
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.953100 1.658919 2.936693 5.547573 11.096472 23.222441 54.579623
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.908577 1.599771 2.868485 5.503107 11.211918 23.975427 57.935168
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.834461 1.481258 2.680119 5.198336 10.730481 23.302091 57.441928
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.805610 1.446527 2.650973 5.222292 10.982674 24.381017 61.849969